Spain vs. France Odds, Picks & Predictions: Euro 2024 Semifinal, July 9 (2024)

In France, qualifying for the semifinals at a major tournament is almost as assured as a stimulating coffee and a fresh pastry at breakfast. Didier Deschamps has done it again, steering the French to their fourth semifinal in the last six major tournaments.

Now, it's just a matter of facing Spain, the Euro 2024 odds favorites and the tournament's unequivocal best team to this point. Spain enter the semifinal showdown as marginal favorites across ourbest sports betting sites as we dive into our Spain vs. France prediction and best bets.

France have lumbered their way through to the final four on the back of an exceptional defense. The adage defense wins championships has never been more poignant.

While they're still two wins away from achieving that feat, France have allowed just one goal in five matches, which came from the spot against Poland in their final Group D encounter.

Meanwhile, Spain have won all five matches, outscoring the opposition 11-2 as they look to advance to their first Euro final since 2012. I like the value of a couple of Spanish threats today, which I break down further in my Spain vs. France player props.

Spain vs. France predictions for Tuesday

Spain vs. France odds via ourbestsoccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

  • Final score: Spain 1 - France 1 (+500 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Kolo Muani anytime goal scorer (+500 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Best bet: ML tie (+180 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Spain vs. France score prediction

Spain 1 vs. France 1

Spain and France have each won two of their previous four head-to-heads. While Spain are inarguably the more in-form team, France are survival masters and have been sinceDeschamps took the helm after Euro 2012. France will never go quietly into the night, and I expect them to showcase their best against an effervescent Spanish team.

France are the first team in European Championship history to advance to the semifinal without scoring a goal from open play. That stat has to change at some point. Les Bleus were much better offensively against Portugal, creating more than enough chances to break their scoreless streak.

Spain vs. France Odds, Picks & Predictions: Euro 2024 Semifinal, July 9 (1)

Several near-misses headlined their quarterfinal display. France has 7.9 expected goals and just one goal (excluding the two opposition's own goals), highlighting their inability to place the final touch on otherwise promising offensive forays.

Spain didn't keep a clean sheet in either knockout game and can be exposed at the back. Meanwhile, Spain have the tournament's most lethal and irrepressible offense, scoring 11 from 10.2 expected goals.

FanDuel consistently offers the best prices and value for the correct score market. bet365 also offers +500 odds, which will pay a profit of $50 on a $10 bet if the game is tied 1-1 after 90 minutes. I also like this game to be tied at the halfway point, as that's one of my selections in my .

Best odds:+500 via FanDuel| Implied probability: 16.67%

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Spain vs. France anytime goal scorer prediction

Kolo Muani, France

Backing Kolo Muani to score is a slightly more risky play, as he didn't make the starting 11 in any of the four matches prior to the quarterfinal. However, Muani has been France's most formidable offensive threat since being introduced in the second half against Belgium in the Round of 16. Muani played with pace and verve, attacking the defense fearlessly.

Had it not been for a game-saving last-gasp defensive deflection, he would have scored the winner against Portugal. And despite Kylian Mbappe's perpetual threat, I like Muani to end France's scoring drought from open play.

bet365 offers the best value of ourbest sports betting apps. The +500 odds will pay a profit of $50 on a $10 bet if Muani scores a goal before the full-time whistle.

Best odds:+500 via bet365| Implied probability: 16.67%

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Spain vs. France best bet

ML tie

Spain have played exceptionally throughout the tournament and came up with a sensational winner to oust Germany seconds before a dreaded penalty shootout commenced. While they were full value for their quarterfinal victory, Spain dropped back and allowed several golden opportunities in the second half. Had Germany been more clinical, we may be discussing a different semifinal matchup.

Spain vs. France Odds, Picks & Predictions: Euro 2024 Semifinal, July 9 (6)

That said, I expect Spain to advance to their first final since winning the tournament in 2012, but it might take penalties to get the job done. France are easily the tournament's best defensive team and will make it difficult for Spain to create as many chances as they have in previous matches.

Also, France are overdue for a goal. I like both teams to score before the full-time whistle, forcing extra time. The +180 odds offered by BetMGM will pay a profit of $18 on a winning $10 wager.

Best odds:+180 via BetMGM| Implied probability: 35.71%

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Spain vs. France odds

TeamDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Spain+175+170+165+170+170
France+205+210+210+200+210
ML tie+180+180+180+180+180

Spain vs. France game info

  • When: Tuesday, July 9
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Where: Munich Football Arena (Munich, Germany)
  • How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
  • Favorite: Spain (+175 via DraftKings)

Spain-France predictions made Monday at 11 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Gary Pearson Twitter link

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014.Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications.His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football.He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise.He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.

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