2024 Genesis Scottish Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions (2024)

In advance of the 152nd Open Championship next week, many of the world’s top players are in Scotland for the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open at The Renaissance Club. It’s a co-sanctioned event between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, the 3rd year it’s being played as such.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook among the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

With Scottie Scheffler not in the field, defending champion Rory McIlroy holds the top spot as the betting favorite with +750 odds. The 2022 winner, Xander Schauffele, is also in the field; his odds are +800 to win this event for the 2nd time. Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood are some of the other big names teeing it up at The Renaissance Club.

The course is a traditional links-style layout, though it does have a fair amount of trees – very few of which will actually come into play. It’s a par 70 and 7,237 yards with 3 par 5s and 5 par 3s, a unique setup for players this week.

  • Genesis Scottish Open: Best outright winner predictions

Genesis Scottish Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:23 p.m. ET.

Xander Schauffele (+188)

Schauffele finished 42nd here last year after winning in 2022 and coming in 10th the year prior, so we’ll assume last season’s result was an outlier. Top-5 odds of +188 seem incredibly short, especially for someone other than Scheffler, but Schauffele has won this event before, won the PGA Championship this season and has 6 top-5 finishes this year already.

Tommy Fleetwood (+350)

Fleetwood has 3 top-6 finishes in his last 4 starts at the Scottish Open, showing just how well he’s played at The Renaissance Club. He has so much experience playing links golf, particularly in windy conditions, and given his recent form, he could be poised to break through and win this week.

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Genesis Scottish Open – Top-10 picks

Tom Kim (+225)

Kim has played surprisingly well in this event, finishing 3rd and 6th in his 2 starts since 2022. Ignoring his missed cut in Detroit 2 weeks ago, he’s been in decent form, seemingly getting things back on track with a runner-up at the Travelers Championship.

Wyndham Clark (+333)

Clark has only played the Scottish Open twice, but he’s had success each time: 16th in 2022 and 25th last year. He can flight the ball down to keep it out of the wind and has the short game to make up and down from off the green, making him a good pick this week.

Ludvig Aberg (+150)

Aberg is already pretty course-proof, succeeding no matter where he plays. He missed the cut here last year in his tournament debut, but that was mostly due to some horrendous putting. He gained 1.86 strokes tee-to-green, a fantastic number compared to the 1.92 strokes he lost on the greens.

Genesis Scottish Open – Top-20 picks

Brian Harman (+188)

Harman has long had success playing links golf, most recently winning the Open last year by 6 shots at Royal Liverpool. He finished 12th here in 2023 before winning the Open and there’s no reason to think he can’t notch another top-20 in Scotland.

Byeong Hun An (+200)

An finished 3rd in 2023 and though he hasn’t played a full 4-round event since the Memorial in early June, he should be well-rested and recovered from the illness that caused him to withdraw from the Travelers. He’s a terrific ball-striker, he just needs the putter to get hot.

Robert MacIntyre (+175)

MacIntyre nearly took down McIlroy in this event and won on home soil last year but McIlroy’s miraculous 2-iron on the 72nd hole snatched it from his grip. He has 3 top 20s in the last 4 years here.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Thomas Detry (+200)
  • Ryan Fox (+250)

Genesis Scottish Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Aaron Rai (-105) vs. Sungjae Im (-120)

It’s never a bad idea to fade Im in a links-style event. He’s historically struggled in this tournament, missing the cut in each of the last 2 years. He’s been better in Open Championships than he has the Scottish Open, so I’m taking Rai – a past champion – to finish ahead of Im this week.

Min Woo Lee (-120) vs. Hideki Matsuyama (-105)

Lee is another former champion of this event, whereas Matsuyama missed the cut in his lone start at The Renaissance Club in 2022.

Genesis Scottish Open – Top Frenchman

Matthieu Pavon (+200)

Pavon played on the DP World Tour for years, so he’s familiar with tournaments like this one. He missed the cut last year, but finished 12th in 2021 and 36th in 2022. Odds of +200 feel like a great value for this bet.

Genesis Scottish Open – Top Scot

Robert MacIntyre (+188)

MacIntyre will try to get it done in front of the home crowd again this week as one of 8 Scottish players in the field. He has the shortest odds to be the top Scot finisher.

Genesis Scottish Open – First-round leader

Xander Schauffele (+2000)

Schauffele ranks 2nd on tour in Round 1 scoring average and is a past champion of the Scottish Open. That makes him a logical pick, especially with how well he’s played overall this year.

Thomas Detry (+6600)

Detry positioned himself well here last year when he shot 64 in Round 1 and was tied for 3rd. He hasn’t finished worse than 43rd in this tournament in the last 5 years.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group D winner: Byeong Hun An (+450)

Another opportunity to fade Im with this bet, as he has the best odds (+275) to finish with the lowest score in this group. Rai is also in this group with odds of +300, followed by Sahith Theegala (+350), An and Sepp Straka (+450). An, after his 3rd-place finish last year, is a good bet.

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2024 Genesis Scottish Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions (2024)
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